2020年4月26日，全球知名的新经济产业第三方数据挖掘和分析机构iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询) 发布《2020中国直播电商入局行业及标杆品牌运行案例大数据监测报告》。报告根据艾媒数据中心、艾媒咨询商业情报数据库、艾媒商情舆情数据监测系统基础数据，对中国直播电商行业进行全面分析，分别针对食品、服装、化妆品、家电等直播电商的入局行业分析，以及对恰恰、珀莱雅等标杆品牌的典型案例解读，以此分析直播电商的产品特性以及品牌方的发展趋势，判断2020-2021年中国直播电商的行业发展趋势。受到本次疫情影响，直播电商展现的强大带货能力推动农产品、服装、汽车等传统实体行业加入直播电商，大大利好直播电商发展。艾媒咨询分析师认为，传统电商推动了消费行为的线上转移，为直播电商的发展提供了前期基础。而随着用户对视频、短视频等应用的使用时间不断增加，直播电商将会是短期内最重要的消费行为。
Affected by the epidemic, China's economy in 2020Q1 compared with 2019Q1, after excluding price change factors, actually dropped by 6.8% year-on-year, which may affect China's economic growth slowdown throughout the year. In order to cope with the problem that the epidemic affects economic development, the state actively encourages all parties in the society to develop "new tools" to stimulate market vitality. iiMedia Research believes that this policy is a new benefit for live broadcast e-commerce. The ability to bring goods will also further drive more industries into the game.
在中国居民可支配收入显著提高、全面放开二孩政策以及育儿观念转变的三重刺激下，近年来婴幼儿辅食行业年均增长率超过18%，2018年行业产量更是达到13.2万吨，但是行业仍处于供不应求的状态，供求仍存在巨大缺口。参考港澳欧美的消费模式，市场潜力还未完全释放。从市场表现来看，在细分市场中谷物类辅食最受青睐，而国产品牌亦积累良好的口碑。iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询)数据显示，22.7%的受访网民主要出于安全原因选择自制婴幼儿辅食，但超过六成网民也抱怨自制耗时耗力的缺点。从消费情况来看, 安全性是婴幼儿辅食消费的首要因素，同时，消费者青睐更具信任度的线下渠道。总体来说，78.2%的受访网民对婴幼儿辅食产品表示满意，但是网民仍指出了产品价格高、品质不稳定等不足，并期待未来产品在安全、营养等方面的改进。
Driven by the significant increase in disposable income of Chinese residents, the universal two-child policy and the change in parenting concepts, the average annual growth rate of the infant supplementary food industry has exceeded 18% in recent years, and the industry output in 2018 reached 132,000 tons, but there is still a huge gap between supply and demand. Refer to the consumption patterns in Hong Kong, Macao and western countries, the market potential has not yet been fully released. From the perspective of market performance, cereal-based supplementary food are the most popular, and domestic brands have gained good reputation. As the data of iiMedia Research showed, 22.7% of the netizens surveyed chose to make infant supplementary food by their own mainly for safety reasons, but more than 60% of netizens also complained about its shortcomings like time and labor consuming. In terms of consumption, safety is the primary factor in infant supplementary food consumption. At the same time, consumers prefer to purchase infant supplementary food in a physical store with greater trust. Overall, 78.2% of the surveyed netizens showed satisfaction with infant supplementary food industry, but netizens still pointed out that prices of some products were too expensive and the quality was unstable, and they looked forward to future improvements in products’ safety and nutrition.
本报告研究涉及企业/品牌/案例：伊利集团、蒙牛集团、飞鹤乳业、光明乳业；其他提及企业/品牌：Vinamilk、TH True Milk、Moc Chau Milk、NutiFood、Hanoimilk、澳优、健合集团、中国圣牧、现代牧业、西部牧业、和路雪、梦龙、Grom、特仑苏、金典、三元、旺仔、辉山、完达山、维他奶等
2020年1月21日，全球知名的新经济产业第三方数据挖掘和分析机构iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询) 发布《2019-2020中国乳业行业运行大数据及市场趋势研究报告》。报告根据艾媒数据中心、艾媒咨询商业情报数据库、艾媒商情舆情数据监测系统基础数据，对中国乳业的发展现状、国际贸易环境和上下游进行深度分析，并且以蒙牛集团、光明乳业、伊利集团、飞鹤乳业等上市公司作为典型案例进行商情分析，深入研究中国乳业行业运行模式和发展趋势。2019年10月，全国监测城市鲜奶平均零售价格每斤为5.40元，环比涨0.4%，同比涨1.9%。其中，袋装鲜奶每斤4.96元，环比涨0.4%，同比涨1.6%。盒装鲜奶每斤5.84元，环比涨0.3%，同比涨2.1%。艾媒咨询分析师认为，随着对鲜奶的认识越发深入，消费者对鲜奶的需求量不断扩大，中国鲜奶市场将持续增长，预计到2020年鲜奶零售价将保持稳步增长的趋势。
The report conducts an in-depth analysis of the development status, international trade environment, and upstream and downstream of China's dairy industry. Group companies, Feihe Dairy and other listed companies conduct business analysis as typical cases, and in-depth study of the operation mode and development trend of China's dairy industry. In October 2019, the average retail price of fresh milk in monitored cities nationwide was 5.40 yuan per catty, up 0.4% month-on-month and 1.9% year-on-year. Among them, bagged fresh milk was 4.96 yuan per catty, up 0.4% month-on-month and 1.6% year-on-year. Boxed fresh milk was 5.84 yuan per catty, up 0.3% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year. iiMedia Research Consulting analysts believe that as the understanding of fresh milk deepens and consumer demand for fresh milk continues to expand, the Chinese fresh milk market will continue to grow, and it is expected that the retail price of fresh milk will maintain a steady growth trend by 2020 .
iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询)数据显示，2019年共27家大众消费企业首次公开募股，其中44.4%为食品饮料行业企业。这些企业中有13家沪深股上市，14家境外上市。中国大众消费企业中沪深股上市的占比达56%，退市情况相较境外市场保持稳定。市值排名top10的中国大众消费企业中8家来自食品饮料行业，而2018-2019市值涨幅top10的中国大众消费企业7家来自服装行业。艾媒咨询师认为，大众消费企业中食品饮料领域的巨头公司仍保持竞争优势，服装行业较其他行业具有更多的上市空间。2019年大众消费企业在沪深股和港股退市数目增加，部分大众消费企业面临着库存、门店、获客等多方面的问题， 大众消费企业需要对产品和服务及时进行创新和升级，才能更好地应对新产品、新零售的挑战。
As the data of iiMedia Research showed, there are 27 IPOs of mass-marketed companies in 2019, of which 44.4% are food and beverage companies. 13 of them are listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen stocks market, and 14 are listed overseas. Among the mass-marketed companies in China, the listing of Shanghai and Shenzhen shares accounted for 56%, and the delisting situation remained stable compared to the overseas market. 8 of the Top 10 Chinese consumer companies by market capitalization are from the food and beverage industry, and 7 of the Top 10 Chinese mass-marketed companies by market capitalization of 2018-2019 are from the apparel industry. Analyst from iiMedia Research believes that, the giant companies in the food and beverage sector of mass-marketed companies still maintain competitive advantages, and the apparel industry has more listing space than other industries. In 2019, the number of delisting enterprises from Shanghai and Shenzhen stocks and Hong Kong stocks will increase. Some mass-marketed companies face problems such as inventory, stores, and customer acquisition. Mass-marketed companies need to innovate and upgrade their products and services in time to meet the challenges of new products and new retail.
With the continuous improvement of the quality of life of Chinese consumers, the scale of China mooncake market continues to expand. As the data of iiMedia Research showed, the amount of mooncakes sold in China in 2019 reached 1.38 billion, and the sales volume was 19.67 billion yuan, increased by 7.9% from the same period of last year. Mooncakes have become a major gift in traditional festivals which drives the Gift Economy. In terms of taste, 78.4% of the surveyed consumers prefer traditional mooncakes. However, with the increasing demand for gifts and health of mooncakes, China's mooncake brands are promoted to innovate packaging and taste, launching high-end mooncakes with health, nutrition and exquisite packaging. Currently, health flavor mooncakes are favored by 2.3% of the surveyed consumers. In addition, with the expansion of e-commerce, the channels for consumers to buy mooncakes are more diversified, mainly online and supplementally offline.
The continuous improvement of income level of Chinese residents and the gradual formation of Internet consumption habits have driven the rapid development of China's snack food industry. According to iiMedia Research, the sales volume of snack food e-commerce market in China was 62.13 billion yuan in 2018, which is expected to exceed 90 billion yuan in 2020, and the overall market size of snack food is expected to reach 3 trillion yuan by then. Three Squirrels chooses nuts track and used e-commerce platform to increase its dividends rapidly. The revenue scale continued to expand, with an average annual compound growth rate of 25.8% from 2016 to 2018. After seven years of operation, its “three squirrels“ IP brand image has a high reputation in the country, product categories continue to enrich, and income structure has been optimized. However, with the disappearance of the dividend of e-commerce platform, the company's operating costs continue to rise, profits are squeezed, and the dependence on third-party e-commerce platform has gradually become a hindrance to the company's development. In the future, with the expansion of the company's all-channel sales network and the gradual release of the company's brand value, the company's products are expected to usher in a good situation of rising volume and price.
本报告研究涉及企业/品牌/案例：Beyond Meat，Impossible Foods，杜邦，Ripple Foods，Bolthouse Farms，Roquette，Field Roast，Gardein，Mosa Meat，Modern Meadow，Finless Foods，烟台双塔食品，深圳齐善食品，宁波素莲素食，江苏鸿旭食品，万达财富，来伊份，登海种业，大北农，新开疆，京粮控股，四环生物，九芝堂，ST天宝，友好集团，爱普股份，丰乐种业，北大荒，天士力，中源协和，大康农业，东宝生物，融捷健康，华宝股份，戴维医疗，千红制药，金健米业，圣济堂，济民制药，哈高科，国际医学，维维股份，海欣食品，复星医药，苏常柴A，瑞茂通
人造肉主要包括植物肉、培育肉和混合肉三类。随着全球肉类短缺危机、健康与环保的消费风潮、食品创新推动等因素带动人造肉产业发展，资本市场开始关注人造肉产业，例如，Beyond Meat上市股市表现良好，Impossible Foods已完成超过6.875亿美元的多轮融资。中国的人造肉市场也开始发展，艾媒商情舆情数据监测系统显示，广东网民最关注人造肉议题。在资本和舆论的带动下，A股市场人造肉版块的活跃，同时，各类人造肉的上游产业链如大豆、豌豆蛋白、胎牛血清等开始共同发展。iiMedia Research（艾媒咨询），36%的中国消费者并不了解人造肉，同时低于四成消费者愿意尝试人造肉。艾媒咨询分析师认为，人造肉要真正市场化普及仍需克服成本、技术、消费者心理因素等多重障碍。
Artificial meat mainly includes three types of plant meat, cultivated meat and mixed meat. With the global meat shortage crisis, the consumption trend of health and environmental protection, and the promotion of food innovation, the capital market has begun to focus on the artificial meat industry. For example, Beyond Meat listed stocks performed well, and Impossible Foods has completed more than 687.5 million. Multiple rounds of financing for the dollar. China's artificial meat market has also begun to develop, and the iiMedia Research business data analysis system shows that Guangdong netizens are most concerned about artificial meat issues. Driven by capital and public opinion, the artificial meat section of the A-share market is active. At the same time, the upstream industrial chains of various types of artificial meat, such as soybean, pea protein and fetal bovine serum, have begun to develop together. iiMedia Research, 36% of Chinese consumers do not know about artificial meat, and less than 40% of consumers are willing to try artificial meat. Ai Media Consulting analysts believe that the real marketization of artificial meat still needs to overcome multiple obstacles such as cost, technology and consumer psychological factors.
Driven by favorable policies and consumption upgrading, China's imported food e-commerce industry has developed rapidly, with the proportion of imported food rising to 6.8% in 2017. China's cross-border e-commerce retail import penetration rate has risen rapidly from 1.6% in 2014 to 10.2% in 2017. The number of cross-border e-commerce import consumers has increased 10 times between 2015 and 2017, and the brand and category of imported food are constantly enriched, including leisure. Food is the most popular. According to iiMedia Research, 74.2% of all consumers buy imported food through commercial platforms, and 53.5% of consumers consider quality as the first factor to be considered when choosing imported food. Ai Media Consulting Analysts believe that the future imported food market will sink to the third and fourth tier cities, e-commerce platform will become the main channel for imported food purchase.
In 2018, China's leisure food e-commerce market saw sales of 62.13 billion yuan, up 23.4 percent. iiMedia Research predicts that the size of China's leisure food e-commerce market will be further expanded in the future, and the sales volume of China's leisure food e-commerce market will reach 96.40 billion yuan by 2020. At present, the top enterprises in China's leisure food e-commerce market are relatively stable, with three squirrels, Baicao and Liangpin shops becoming TOP3 enterprises for three consecutive years. But market concentration is relatively fragmented, with the top five companies accounting for less than 5% of the total market share in 2018. Driven by the concepts of health, original ecology and health preservation, the sales growth rate of nuts reached 16.3% in 2018, and the sales volume of nuts products on ali platform accounted for about 25.0% of that of snacks. Sales of “scientific mix“, “separation of dry and wet“ and small package nuts have soared. In 2018, the daily sales of nuts account for nearly a quarter of the total sales of nuts, becoming a new market growth point.
In 2018, Chinese infant milk powder market reached 222.1 billion RMB and the growth rate is 18.6%. It is expected that Chinese infant milk powder market will continue to expand to 295.51 billion RMB by 2020. With the further standardization of Chinese infant milk powder market, after a long recovery period of ten years, domestic milk powder brands such as Firmus, Yili and Beingmate have gained a great market share. According to iiMedia Research, 19.7% of Chinese consumers are more inclined to purchase domestic milk powder brands and consumers in third-tier and fourth-tier cities have stronger confidence in domestic milk powder, with 28.1% and 28.9% purchase intention respectively. In the process of infant milk powder purchase, brand reputation of milk powder has the greatest influence on the purchase decision. More than 40% of consumers search information about milk powder through the Internet. Nearly 80% of consumers buy milk powder at a price between 200 and 400 yuan and 40% of consumers are most concerned about the nutritional function of infant milk powder. After the implementation of the registration system of milk formula, a large number of unregistered and labeled milk powder brands have been removed from the market. Meanwhile, many imported milk powder brands are unable to carry out offline sales due to their lack of qualification for registration of formula. Therefore, there will be a market space of 12 to 14 billion RMB in third-tier and fourth-tier cities. iiMedia consulting analyst believes that milk powder market of three or four tier cities is the key for domestic brands fighting a turnaround in the future.