本报告研究涉及企业/品牌/案例：Vinamilk、TH True Milk、Moc Chau Milk、NutiFood、Hanoimilk、伊利、蒙牛、澳优、健合集团、中国圣牧、现代牧业、西部牧业、和路雪、梦龙、Grom、特仑苏、光明、金典、三元、旺仔、辉山、完达山、维他奶、飞鹤乳业等
2020年1月21日，全球知名的新经济产业第三方数据挖掘和分析机构iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询) 发布《2019-2020中国乳业行业运行大数据及市场趋势研究报告》。报告根据艾媒数据中心、艾媒咨询商业情报数据库、艾媒商情舆情数据监测系统基础数据，对中国乳业的发展现状、国际贸易环境和上下游进行深度分析，并且以蒙牛集团、光明乳业、伊利集团、飞鹤乳业等上市公司作为典型案例进行商情分析，深入研究中国乳业行业运行模式和发展趋势。2019年10月，全国监测城市鲜奶平均零售价格每斤为5.40元，环比涨0.4%，同比涨1.9%。其中，袋装鲜奶每斤4.96元，环比涨0.4%，同比涨1.6%。盒装鲜奶每斤5.84元，环比涨0.3%，同比涨2.1%。艾媒咨询分析师认为，随着对鲜奶的认识越发深入，消费者对鲜奶的需求量不断扩大，中国鲜奶市场将持续增长，预计到2020年鲜奶零售价将保持稳步增长的趋势。
The report conducts an in-depth analysis of the development status, international trade environment, and upstream and downstream of China's dairy industry. Group companies, Feihe Dairy and other listed companies conduct business analysis as typical cases, and in-depth study of the operation mode and development trend of China's dairy industry. In October 2019, the average retail price of fresh milk in monitored cities nationwide was 5.40 yuan per catty, up 0.4% month-on-month and 1.9% year-on-year. Among them, bagged fresh milk was 4.96 yuan per catty, up 0.4% month-on-month and 1.6% year-on-year. Boxed fresh milk was 5.84 yuan per catty, up 0.3% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year. Ai Media Consulting analysts believe that as the understanding of fresh milk deepens and consumer demand for fresh milk continues to expand, the Chinese fresh milk market will continue to grow, and it is expected that the retail price of fresh milk will maintain a steady growth trend by 2020 .
iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询)数据显示，2019年共27家大众消费企业首次公开募股，其中44.4%为食品饮料行业企业。这些企业中有13家沪深股上市，14家境外上市。中国大众消费企业中沪深股上市的占比达56%，退市情况相较境外市场保持稳定。市值排名top10的中国大众消费企业中8家来自食品饮料行业，而2018-2019市值涨幅top10的中国大众消费企业7家来自服装行业。艾媒咨询师认为，大众消费企业中食品饮料领域的巨头公司仍保持竞争优势，服装行业较其他行业具有更多的上市空间。2019年大众消费企业在沪深股和港股退市数目增加，部分大众消费企业面临着库存、门店、获客等多方面的问题， 大众消费企业需要对产品和服务及时进行创新和升级，才能更好地应对新产品、新零售的挑战。
As the data of iiMedia Research showed, there are 27 IPOs of mass-marketed companies in 2019, of which 44.4% are food and beverage companies. 13 of them are listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen stocks market, and 14 are listed overseas. Among the mass-marketed companies in China, the listing of Shanghai and Shenzhen shares accounted for 56%, and the delisting situation remained stable compared to the overseas market. 8 of the Top 10 Chinese consumer companies by market capitalization are from the food and beverage industry, and 7 of the Top 10 Chinese mass-marketed companies by market capitalization of 2018-2019 are from the apparel industry. Analyst from iiMedia Research believes that, the giant companies in the food and beverage sector of mass-marketed companies still maintain competitive advantages, and the apparel industry has more listing space than other industries. In 2019, the number of delisting enterprises from Shanghai and Shenzhen stocks and Hong Kong stocks will increase. Some mass-marketed companies face problems such as inventory, stores, and customer acquisition. Mass-marketed companies need to innovate and upgrade their products and services in time to meet the challenges of new products and new retail.
With the continuous improvement of the quality of life of Chinese consumers, the scale of China mooncake market continues to expand. As the data of iiMedia Research showed, the amount of mooncakes sold in China in 2019 reached 1.38 billion, and the sales volume was 19.67 billion yuan, increased by 7.9% from the same period of last year. Mooncakes have become a major gift in traditional festivals which drives the Gift Economy. In terms of taste, 78.4% of the surveyed consumers prefer traditional mooncakes. However, with the increasing demand for gifts and health of mooncakes, China's mooncake brands are promoted to innovate packaging and taste, launching high-end mooncakes with health, nutrition and exquisite packaging. Currently, health flavor mooncakes are favored by 2.3% of the surveyed consumers. In addition, with the expansion of e-commerce, the channels for consumers to buy mooncakes are more diversified, mainly online and supplementally offline.
The continuous improvement of income level of Chinese residents and the gradual formation of Internet consumption habits have driven the rapid development of China's snack food industry. According to iiMedia Research, the sales volume of snack food e-commerce market in China was 62.13 billion yuan in 2018, which is expected to exceed 90 billion yuan in 2020, and the overall market size of snack food is expected to reach 3 trillion yuan by then. Three Squirrels chooses nuts track and used e-commerce platform to increase its dividends rapidly. The revenue scale continued to expand, with an average annual compound growth rate of 25.8% from 2016 to 2018. After seven years of operation, its “three squirrels“ IP brand image has a high reputation in the country, product categories continue to enrich, and income structure has been optimized. However, with the disappearance of the dividend of e-commerce platform, the company's operating costs continue to rise, profits are squeezed, and the dependence on third-party e-commerce platform has gradually become a hindrance to the company's development. In the future, with the expansion of the company's all-channel sales network and the gradual release of the company's brand value, the company's products are expected to usher in a good situation of rising volume and price.
本报告研究涉及企业/品牌/案例：Beyond Meat，Impossible Foods，杜邦，Ripple Foods，Bolthouse Farms，Roquette，Field Roast，Gardein，Mosa Meat，Modern Meadow，Finless Foods，烟台双塔食品，深圳齐善食品，宁波素莲素食，江苏鸿旭食品，万达财富，来伊份，登海种业，大北农，新开疆，京粮控股，四环生物，九芝堂，ST天宝，友好集团，爱普股份，丰乐种业，北大荒，天士力，中源协和，大康农业，东宝生物，融捷健康，华宝股份，戴维医疗，千红制药，金健米业，圣济堂，济民制药，哈高科，国际医学，维维股份，海欣食品，复星医药，苏常柴A，瑞茂通
人造肉主要包括植物肉、培育肉和混合肉三类。随着全球肉类短缺危机、健康与环保的消费风潮、食品创新推动等因素带动人造肉产业发展，资本市场开始关注人造肉产业，例如，Beyond Meat上市股市表现良好，Impossible Foods已完成超过6.875亿美元的多轮融资。中国的人造肉市场也开始发展，艾媒商情舆情数据监测系统显示，广东网民最关注人造肉议题。在资本和舆论的带动下，A股市场人造肉版块的活跃，同时，各类人造肉的上游产业链如大豆、豌豆蛋白、胎牛血清等开始共同发展。iiMedia Research（艾媒咨询），36%的中国消费者并不了解人造肉，同时低于四成消费者愿意尝试人造肉。艾媒咨询分析师认为，人造肉要真正市场化普及仍需克服成本、技术、消费者心理因素等多重障碍。
Artificial meat mainly includes three types of plant meat, cultivated meat and mixed meat. With the global meat shortage crisis, the consumption trend of health and environmental protection, and the promotion of food innovation, the capital market has begun to focus on the artificial meat industry. For example, Beyond Meat listed stocks performed well, and Impossible Foods has completed more than 687.5 million. Multiple rounds of financing for the dollar. China's artificial meat market has also begun to develop, and the iiMedia Research business data analysis system shows that Guangdong netizens are most concerned about artificial meat issues. Driven by capital and public opinion, the artificial meat section of the A-share market is active. At the same time, the upstream industrial chains of various types of artificial meat, such as soybean, pea protein and fetal bovine serum, have begun to develop together. iiMedia Research, 36% of Chinese consumers do not know about artificial meat, and less than 40% of consumers are willing to try artificial meat. Ai Media Consulting analysts believe that the real marketization of artificial meat still needs to overcome multiple obstacles such as cost, technology and consumer psychological factors.
Driven by favorable policies and consumption upgrading, China's imported food e-commerce industry has developed rapidly, with the proportion of imported food rising to 6.8% in 2017. China's cross-border e-commerce retail import penetration rate has risen rapidly from 1.6% in 2014 to 10.2% in 2017. The number of cross-border e-commerce import consumers has increased 10 times between 2015 and 2017, and the brand and category of imported food are constantly enriched, including leisure. Food is the most popular. According to iiMedia Research, 74.2% of all consumers buy imported food through commercial platforms, and 53.5% of consumers consider quality as the first factor to be considered when choosing imported food. Ai Media Consulting Analysts believe that the future imported food market will sink to the third and fourth tier cities, e-commerce platform will become the main channel for imported food purchase.
In 2018, China's leisure food e-commerce market saw sales of 62.13 billion yuan, up 23.4 percent. iiMedia Research predicts that the size of China's leisure food e-commerce market will be further expanded in the future, and the sales volume of China's leisure food e-commerce market will reach 96.40 billion yuan by 2020. At present, the top enterprises in China's leisure food e-commerce market are relatively stable, with three squirrels, Baicao and Liangpin shops becoming TOP3 enterprises for three consecutive years. But market concentration is relatively fragmented, with the top five companies accounting for less than 5% of the total market share in 2018. Driven by the concepts of health, original ecology and health preservation, the sales growth rate of nuts reached 16.3% in 2018, and the sales volume of nuts products on ali platform accounted for about 25.0% of that of snacks. Sales of “scientific mix“, “separation of dry and wet“ and small package nuts have soared. In 2018, the daily sales of nuts account for nearly a quarter of the total sales of nuts, becoming a new market growth point.
In 2018, Chinese infant milk powder market reached 222.1 billion RMB and the growth rate is 18.6%. It is expected that Chinese infant milk powder market will continue to expand to 295.51 billion RMB by 2020. With the further standardization of Chinese infant milk powder market, after a long recovery period of ten years, domestic milk powder brands such as Firmus, Yili and Beingmate have gained a great market share. According to iiMedia Research, 19.7% of Chinese consumers are more inclined to purchase domestic milk powder brands and consumers in third-tier and fourth-tier cities have stronger confidence in domestic milk powder, with 28.1% and 28.9% purchase intention respectively. In the process of infant milk powder purchase, brand reputation of milk powder has the greatest influence on the purchase decision. More than 40% of consumers search information about milk powder through the Internet. Nearly 80% of consumers buy milk powder at a price between 200 and 400 yuan and 40% of consumers are most concerned about the nutritional function of infant milk powder. After the implementation of the registration system of milk formula, a large number of unregistered and labeled milk powder brands have been removed from the market. Meanwhile, many imported milk powder brands are unable to carry out offline sales due to their lack of qualification for registration of formula. Therefore, there will be a market space of 12 to 14 billion RMB in third-tier and fourth-tier cities. iiMedia consulting analyst believes that milk powder market of three or four tier cities is the key for domestic brands fighting a turnaround in the future.
本报告研究涉及企业/品牌包括：Thompson Street Capital Partner、Tropichem实验室、TetraGenx、Genoscoper、全球宠物用品控股公司GPP、荷兰国际投资公司ING、Schlotus、General Mills、Blue Buffalo、J.M.Smucker、Ainsworth Pet Nutrition、LLC(安斯沃思宠物营养品）公司、United Petfood、Animal Lovers、Nestle、Wamiz、Purina、荷兰IMCD、宠幸宠物、魔力猫盒、宠爱国际、疯狂的小狗、猫殿下、味及、宠安安、宠物之城、瑞派宠物、兴牧生物、宠爱堡、派迪畅科技、宇钛科技、云宠智能、爱宠医生、双安科技、皇家、比瑞吉、渴望、麦富迪、亚禾、顽皮、伊纳宝、伟嘉、喵趣、希宝、宝路、优卡、西莎、佳贝、冠能、康多乐、普瑞纳、妙多乐、喜跃、Wanpy、中宠、Kingdom PetS、Live、纯真肉本色、Dr Hao、脆脆香、Sea、Kingdom、KingKitty、Frisian、Mio9、佩蒂股份
As the data of iiMedia Research showed, the pet food industry reached 93.4 billion yuan in the market in 2018, with a growth rate of 86.8%. The growth rate is much higher than that of previous years. With the change of people's pet concept and the promotion of pet status, users are willing to spend more on pet food to protect the health and growth of pets. The overall situation of pet food industry is better.