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5G手机在2020年开始迅速扩大在市场的话语权。2020年截至7月,中国5G手机出货量累计达到7750.8万部,占智能手机总出货量的44.2%;上市5G新机型累计119款,占总上市机型的46.5%。而2019年全年5G手机出货量及上市新机型分别仅为1376.9万部及35款。5G手机在市场渗透率的上升最主要因素还是在于各大厂商跟进新款产品的时候转向5G赛道,导致消费者在购买新机时被动接受5G手机产品。iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询)数据显示,受访用户购买5G手机最主要原因在于正常更替手机,占比41.6%。而非5G手机用户中,73.3%认为现阶段大众没有购买5G手机的必要。5G手机目前未体现出明显优于其他主流智能手机的特性,相反,5G通信套餐价格昂贵、商用城市较少,均使置换5G手机的性价比较低,阻碍其市场普及。未来只有从需求端出发激发消费者刚需,将5G在通信传输方面的优势在智能手机体现,同时挖掘能够依靠5G手机搭载的杀手级应用产品,才能加速5G手机普及。

5G smartphone rapidly expand its discourse power in the market in 2020. YTD 5G smartphone shipments were 77.508 million units, represented 44.2% of the total shipment. The total number of new models were 119, accounting for 46.5% of the total new models. Comparatively, total 5G smartphone shipments and new models released in 2019 were 13.769 million and 35. The main reason for the increase of 5G mobile smartphone market penetration is that the major manufacturers turn to compete in the 5G market when they released the new products, which led to consumers’ passively acceptance 5G smartphone. As the data of iiMedia Research showed, 41.6% of the interviewees purchased 5G smartphone because of the normal replacement of the mobile phones. However, 73.3% of non-5G smartphone users think that it is not necessary for the public to buy 5G smartphone at this stage. At present, 5G mobile smartphone do not show obvious advantages over other mainstream smartphones. On the contrary, the high traffic pricing of 5G smartphone and the lack of commercial cities make the replacement of 5G smartphone with low cost performance, and thus hinder its market popularization. In the future, only by standing from the demand side, reflecting the advantages of 5G in communication transmission in smartphones, and developing killer application that can only rely on 5G smartphones, can we accelerate its popularization.

本报告研究涉及企业/品牌/案例:华为,电信,国脉科技,杰赛科技,恒泰实达,吉大通信,通宇通讯,京信通信,摩比发展(港股),东山精密,盛路通信,飞荣达,摩比发展(港股),东山精密,盛路通信,飞荣达,光迅科技,中际旭创,新易盛,天孚通信,剑桥科技,中兴通讯,诺基亚(美股),爱立信(美股),海格通信,宜通世纪,中富通,超讯通信,中通国脉,吉大通信,纵横通信

全球主要经济体加速推进5G商用落地,目前中国5G产业已形成规划、建设、运营和应用四大产业链环节,产业发展前景广阔,预计2025年中国5G连接数将达4.28亿个,带动直接经济产出达3.3万亿元。iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询)监测发现,2018年中国5G产业链各个环节相关企业营收均超亿元,发展态势良好。调查显示,有73.0%的网民看好5G技术未来发展,智能制造、车辆网、无线医疗是网民关注热点领域。而资本市场也积极关注5G产业生态圈,随着5G融入多项技术的程度加深,未来5G在传统行业的创新应用将成为重要的经济增长点,智慧出行、智慧医疗等下游应用率先成投资热点。

Major global economies have accelerated the promotion of 5G commercial landing. At present, China's 5G industry has formed four major industrial chains: planning, construction, operation and application. The industry has broad prospects for development. It is estimated that the number of 5G links in China will reach 428 million in 2025, and the direct economic output will reach 3.3 trillion yuan. IiMedia Research (Ai Media Consulting) monitoring found that in 2018, China's 5G industry chain in all aspects of the relevant enterprises revenue exceeded 100 million yuan, the development trend is good. According to the survey, 73.0% of the netizens are optimistic about the future development of 5G technology. Intelligent manufacturing, vehicle network and wireless medical treatment are the hotspots of netizens'attention. The capital market also pays close attention to the 5G industrial ecosphere. With the deepening integration of 5G into many technologies, the innovative application of 5G in traditional industries will become an important economic growth point in the future, and downstream applications such as smart travel and smart medical treatment will be the first investment hotspot.

本报告研究涉及企业/品牌/案例:华为,谷歌,小米,vivo,oppo,三星

2019年5月21日,华为宣布其自主研发的操作系统“华为鸿蒙”最快2019年秋季面市,随即引发社会广泛关注。数据显示,在全球智能手机市场萎缩的大背景下,华为市场份额在2019第一季度跃升至全球智能手机市场份额第二位。此次研发操作系统或与中美贸易战直接相关。美方对多家中国科技企业实施制裁使得中国科技企业加快技术自立步伐。对于华为自研鸿蒙操作系统的态度,近九成中国企业认为自研操作系统是必要的,超九成网民和企业支持华为开发自身的操作系统。艾媒咨询分析师认为,自研系统开发的关键在于解决生态建设问题。在贸易战背景下,加强核心技术研发具有必要性。在5G技术趋于成熟之时推出新的操作系统,对于华为而言也是发展良机。

On May 21, 2019, Huawei announced that its independently-developed operating system ““Huawei Hongmeng““ would be available in the fall of 2019 at the earliest, which immediately attracted wide attention from the public. in the context of the shrinking global smartphone market, Huawei's market share jumped to the second place in the global smartphone market in the first quarter of 2019. The development of the operating system may be directly related to the trade war between China and the United States. US sanctions on a number of Chinese technology companies have accelerated the pace of their technological self-reliance. As for Huawei's self-developed Hongmeng operating system, nearly 90% of Chinese enterprises believe that self-developed operating system is necessary, and more than 90% of Internet users and enterprises support Huawei to develop its own operating system. Analysts in iiMedia believe that the key to the development of self-research system is to solve the problem of ecological construction. Against the background of trade war, it is necessary to strengthen the research and development of core technologies. Launching a new operating system at a time when 5G technology is maturing is also a good development opportunity for Huawei.

本报告研究涉及企业/品牌/案例:传音控股,摩托罗拉,手机,华为,诺基亚,TECNO,itel,Infinix,传音投资,源科基金,传力投资,传承创业,传力创业,传音创业,TETRAD,GAMNAT,睿启和盛,香港网易互娱,三星,小米,OPPO,天珑移动

iiMedia Research(艾媒咨询)数据显示,2018年全球手机整体出货量为18.91亿部,同比下降4.4%,其中智能手机出货量为14.05亿部,同比下降4.2%。中国作为全球第一大手机市场,萎缩程度较全球市场更为剧烈。2018年中国智能手机出货量为3.9亿部,较2017年下降11.7%,存量竞争加剧。与此同时,以非洲和印度为代表的新兴市场国家,正处在人口红利释放期,手机普及率整体偏低,且以功能机为主。数据显示,2018年非洲市场智能手机渗透率维持在三成水平,而印度的智能手机渗透率仅为28%。新兴国家人口红利带来的增量市场以及存量市场的升级需求显示出手机市场仍有较大发展潜力,吸引了手机巨头们的目光,它们纷纷加大力度开拓新兴市场。2018年中国品牌智能手机海外销售占比增长至40%。随着中国主要品牌“出海”步伐的加速,传音控股的错位市场竞争战略逐渐失效,它将面临多个巨头品牌的正面较量,竞争更加激烈。

According to iiMedia Research, global mobile phone shipments in 2018 were 1.891 billion, down 4.4% from a year earlier, of which smartphone shipments were 1.405 billion, down 4.2% from a year earlier. As the world's largest mobile phone market, China has contracted more sharply than the global market. In 2018, China shipped 390 million smartphones, down 11.7% from 2017, and the stock competition intensified. At the same time, emerging market countries, represented by Africa and India, are in the period of demographic dividend release. Mobile phone penetration rate is generally low, and mainly functional machines. Data show that smartphone penetration in Africa remained at 33% in 2018, compared with 28% in India. Incremental market and upgrading demand of stock market brought by demographic dividend in emerging countries show that the mobile phone market still has great development potential, which attracts the attention of mobile phone giants, who have increased their efforts to explore emerging markets. Overseas sales of Chinese brand smartphones increased to 40% in 2018. With the acceleration of the pace of ““going to sea““ of China's major brands, Transsion's dislocation market competition strategy is gradually ineffective. It will face a positive competition among several giant brands, and the competition will become more intense.


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