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目前，中国中式糕点行业正乘“国潮”东风，进入一个快速现代化与扩张的转型期。新老品牌通过产品创新、渠道变革和文化赋能，成功将其从传统节令食品转变为日常“悦己型”消费，驱动市场持续增长。根据全球领先的新经济产业第三方数据挖掘和分析机构iiMedia Research（艾媒咨询）最新发布的《2025年中国中式糕点行业发展状况及消费行为调查数据》显示，2024年中国烘焙食品零售市场规模达6110.7亿元，同比增长8.8%，预计2029年市场规模将达8595.6亿元。中国烘焙食品行业细分市场潜力巨大，随着自媒体的不断发展，各类网红探店、KOL推荐等促使中式糕点、新中式糕点成为新热点，发展势头强劲。
中国消费者在选择中式糕点时，首要关注的因素是“口味和味道”，占比高达45.59%，凸显出产品风味仍是影响购买决策的核心要素。其次，“价格合理”以38.83%的占比成为第二大关键因素，表明消费者在追求美味的同时，也十分注重产品的性价比。此外，有72.03%的消费者明确表示愿意尝试新产品，体现出市场对创新品类具有较高的接受度和消费意愿；而16.39%的消费者持观望态度，则反映部分群体仍需要更多的品质背书或体验激励以促成购买行为。整体来看，中式糕点消费市场呈现出“味觉驱动、理性决策、积极尝新”的典型特征，提示企业应在保持口味优势的基础上，平衡定价策略，并通过产品创新和体验优化持续激活消费需求。
艾媒咨询分析师认为，中国中式糕点行业未来将呈现品质化、健康化与跨界融合的发展趋势。产品方面，低糖、天然原料和功能性糕点需求上升，“零食化”创新持续拓宽消费场景。文化赋能成为核心竞争力，国潮设计和文化叙事深化品牌价值。技术层面，智能制造与数字化供应链提升效率，短保产品与即时配送优化体验。市场层面，三四线下沉市场与海外出口同步推进，本土化创新成为国际化关键挑战。行业将逐步从“网红”模式走向“长红”品牌，供应链管控、产品迭代与文化表达力将成为企业突围的关键。
At present, the Chinese traditional pastry industry is riding on the "national trend" wave and entering a period of rapid modernization and expansion. Both new and old brands have successfully transformed traditional seasonal food into daily "self-indulgence" consumption through product innovation, channel reform and cultural empowerment, driving the market to continue growing. According to the latest "Research data on the development status and consumer behavior of China's Chinese pastry industry in 2025" released by iiMedia Research, a leading third-party data mining and analysis agency for the new economy industry, the retail market size of China's baking food reached 611.07 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%. It is expected that the market size will reach 859.56 billion yuan in 2029. The potential of the segmented markets in China's baking industry is huge. With the continuous development of self-media, various online celebrity store visits and KOL recommendations have made Chinese pastries and new Chinese pastries new hotspots, with a strong development momentum.
Chinese consumers prioritize 'taste and flavor' when choosing traditional pastries, accounting for 45.59%, highlighting that product flavor remains a core element influencing purchasing decisions. Following this, 'reasonable price' becomes the second most critical factor at 38.83%, indicating that consumers value cost-effectiveness while seeking deliciousness. Additionally, 72.03% of consumers clearly express a willingness to try new products, reflecting a high acceptance and willingness to consume innovative categories in the market; while 16.39% of consumers remain cautious, suggesting that some groups still need more quality endorsements or experiential incentives to facilitate purchasing behavior. Overall, the Chinese pastry consumption market exhibits typical characteristics of "taste-driven, rational decision-making, and active exploration of new products", suggesting that enterprises should maintain their taste advantages, balance pricing strategies, and continuously activate consumer demand through product innovation and experience optimization.
Analysts from iiMedia Research believe that the Chinese pastry industry will trend towards quality, health, and cross-border integration in the future. In terms of products, there is an increasing demand for low-sugar, natural ingredients, and functional pastries, with a continuous expansion of consumption scenarios through 'snackification' innovations. Cultural empowerment has become a core competitive advantage, with national trendy designs and cultural narratives deepening brand value. On the technological front, smart manufacturing and digital supply chains enhance efficiency, while short shelf-life products and instant delivery optimize the consumer experience. At the market level, the development of lower-tier markets and overseas exports is advancing simultaneously, with localized innovation becoming a key challenge for internationalization. The industry will gradually shift from the 'internet celebrity' model to 'lasting' brands, where supply chain management, product iteration, and cultural expressiveness will be crucial for companies to break through.