In 2020, the state and local governments will intensively introduce policies to emphasize the positioning of "houses are used for living, not for speculation". Under this general trend, it is difficult to relax the control policies such as purchase restriction, loan restriction and sales restriction in the short term. It is expected that the real estate policy environment will continue to be tight in 2021. However, from the data of real estate land purchase area and construction area, the scale of land acquisition of real estate enterprises will grow steadily in 2020, and the newly started area will peak and fall. It is estimated that there will still be a strong growth momentum for real estate investment in 2021. (“iiMedia Report | Monthly operation and year-end inventory data monitoring report of China's real estate industry （Oct & Nov,2020）" full version has 51 pages,please click the download button at the bottom of the article to download the report )
With the gradual improvement in the prevention and control of the epidemic, the national real estate development investment has shown a trend of full recovery and steady growth since it first recovered in June. According to data, as of September 2020, the funds in place for real estate development enterprises were 13.3763 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. However, due to the approaching winter, northern cities will gradually usher in a downtime. Therefore, the newly started area of houses has dropped by 3.40%.
From June to July 2020, the property market regulation will continue to adhere to the positioning of “no speculation in housing and housing”. Many places have successively introduced regulation and control policies on the property market to severely crack down on violations of laws and regulations in the real estate market and regulate the order of the real estate market. In July 2020, the urban housing prices of new houses in the three major cities of Shanghai, Beijing and Shenzhen ranked among the top three, while the average prices of Ningbo, Beijing and Fuzhou increased significantly.
Comprehensive April-May 2020, China's 70 large and medium-sized cities commercial housing sales price changes statistics found that during this period, the sales price of newly built commercial housing in various cities increased slightly, but the price is still higher than the same period last year Fall back.iiMedia Research believe that under the influence of the country's housing policy of "only live and not speculate", the housing prices of all cities are controlled. Although the housing demand has slightly increased due to the impact of the new crown epidemic, it is generally stable.
The epidemic has brought a certain short-term impact on the offline resumption of the home building materials market, which has reversed the promotion of home improvement consumer users to migrate online, and has also become an accelerator for traditional home improvement companies to transform and upgrade online. The Internet model has become the first choice for new entrants in the decoration market. According to the data of iiMedia Research， the growth rate of new Internet decoration companies in China in 2020Q1 is 18.8% year-on-year. The just-needed attributes of the home furnishing industry and the broad development space make it a market that all capitals are keen on. iiMedia consulting analysts believe that the continuous influx of e-commerce giants and new entrants will bring more new technologies, new models and new formats to the home improvement market. While the industry development ushers in new opportunities and will also face greater challenges.
From the perspective of the development and sales of real estate land in China from February to March 2020, from February to March, the acquisition area of real estate land was 19.69 million square meters, an increase of 80.3% year on year; the transaction price of real estate land was 97.7 billion yuan, an increase of 121.8% year on year. The land transaction area and transaction price have increased significantly, mainly due to the serious impact of the epidemic from January to February. After March, the control effect of the epidemic in China has become apparent, the impact of the epidemic has weakened, and the real estate industry began to show signs of resumption of work.
Judging from China's January-2020 CPI rise and fall data, in January 2020, the national consumer price index rose 5.4% year-on-year and 1.4% month-on-month. iiMedia Research analysts believe that due to the impact of the Spring Festival and the epidemic, the price level of consumer goods and service items has generally risen significantly, and the CPI in January was higher than in the previous month. Among them, the consumer price index for residential products rose by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, which was flat month-on-month. iiMedia Consulting analysts believe that due to the impact of the epidemic, coupled with the promotion of government policies to stabilize the property market, and the general tightening of the financing environment, the overall evaluation of the real estate market is biased towards the smallest.
As the data of iiMedia Research showed, the scale of China Online Interior Decoration market in 2018 has reached 344.19 billion yuan, and it is expected to exceed 400 billion yuan in 2020. iiMedia Research Consulting Analysts believe that by adjusting the macro factors of real estate regulation, the overall market growth rate is greatly affected, and the overall market competition will become increasingly fierce. After several years of development, the drawbacks of Online Interior Decoration have been exposed, and the quality of service of the platform has also been widely concerned. At the same time, the emergence of new technologies such as VR and AR provides more possibilities for many links of Online Interior Decoration , and also gives marketing power to the industry. In addition, the consumption scale of the three or four tier cities is huge, and the improvement of living standards makes their demands for home decoration higher and higher. With the availability of the Internet, the sinking market will become a new growth point of Online Interior Decoration.
By the end of 2018, China has formed the initial scale business circle model of Guangzhou University City, Yangpu University City and the vicinity of Chang'an University City. Among them, the business circle of Shanghai Yangpu University City is more prominent in terms of transportation convenience, business form richness and passenger flow. According to iiMedia Research, Jiangsu area pays the highest attention to the University City business circle, accounting for 21.7%. Besides, according to iiMedia Research,in the daily consumption expenditure of college students in different fields, more than 20% of college students take off-line training, learning and consumption as one of the main daily consumption items. Educational and training institutions still have great development potential in the University City business circle. Overall, the overall planning and development of university towns in China are still relatively inadequate, and the radiation impact of university towns is not fully utilized. In the future, we can strengthen the excavation of University City resources, promote the development of surrounding areas such as housing, scientific research bases, attract other industries such as commercial services, supporting facilities, tourism and leisure, real estate and other aspects, and create a more perfect university city business service circle.
In 2019, the government has repeatedly affirmed the economic contribution of China's industrial parks at major conferences, and said it will continue to vigorously support the development of industrial parks in the future. In march, the ministry of industry and information technology released two documents related to energy conservation in industrial parks, saying that future industrial parks need to pay more attention to environmental protection. The ministry of industry and information technology has issued corresponding guidance documents for industrial Internet, energy vehicles, intelligent network vehicles and ultra-high definition video industries. In terms of new parks, 5G industrial park has become the new focus. During march, a total of 4 5G industrial parks were opened or planned. In terms of the number of industrial parks, as of March 2019, the total number of industrial parks in China exceeded 3,000. In terms of distribution, Guangdong province, Zhejiang province and Shanghai rank top three in terms of the number of industrial parks. As of April 1, the registration information of 31 enterprises accepted by the board shows that 28 of them are in the industrial park, accounting for more than 90%. The newly introduced projects in the industrial park are mostly related to high and new technologies such as intelligent manufacturing. For example, the German fraunhofer institute for applied research and promotion will set up the intelligent manufacturing project center in Lingang, Shanghai. The general department of aerospace science, industry, light and quantum technology and application was officially listed in the east lake high-tech zone.